Milind Jain
Credit Speciality Leader, Middle East and North Africa
The credit landscape in South Africa is changing. During the lockdowns of the early COVID years, it was expected that many companies would fail, but due to swift government intervention and resourcefulness of businesses and financiers, a tsunami of insolvencies was averted. Surprisingly, the level of insolvencies remained very low in South Africa and the rest of the world through 2023.
In South Africa, credit insurers such as CGIC, Coface and Lombard are reporting that claim payments are now back to the levels seen before COVID. However, although the number of claims is lower than in 2023, the total value is higher, indicating that larger companies are getting into financial distress — in 2024 alone, we’ve seen some big industry names hitting the newspaper headlines. The same insurers are also reporting a decline in declarable turnovers by their policyholders, confirming the South African economy is under pressure.
Although there are some notable green shoots, with the new coalition government (GNU) and with load-shedding becoming something of the past, corporate South Africa is expected to face difficult times ahead in the short to medium term, with increased levels of insolvencies and business rescue cases.
To help navigate this challenging landscape, companies can take out trade credit insurance. Although these policies primarily protect a company against the risk of non-payment for goods and services delivered on credit, they also provide spinoff benefits that are perhaps less well known, such as facilitating a company’s expansion into new markets, improving access to working capital and increasing sales with existing customers.
Under a trade credit insurance policy, an insurer covers a company’s nonpayment exposure. This will help the company in several ways:
Amid slower global economic growth, high energy prices, inflation and higher interest rates, companies in the African region are increasingly at risk of delayed payment or non-payment by customers based either in the region or in the UK, Europe, the US and Asia, the main export markets for locally produced goods, where late payments have spiralled out of control in some sectors. In the UK, for instance, 52% of small businesses experienced late payments in 2022, and the Netherlands is reporting record growth in company liquidations in 2024.
To protect against bad debts, information is key. Companies should lean on their insurers and relevant information providers, such as credit information bureaus, trade associations and professional bodies, to perform due diligence on partners ahead of providing them with goods and services. As a broker specialising in trade credit insurance, Marsh runs risk workshops, providing insights and guidance on credit management best practices. Companies should also closely follow shifts in risks in the countries and sectors in which they do business.
Companies should consult a broker to make sure they have the most suitable insurance coverage in place and are taking all available measures to mitigate their trade credit risks.
For more information on trade credit insurance, please contact your Marsh adviser.
Credit Speciality Leader, Middle East and North Africa
Credit Speciality Leader, India, Middle East and North Africa